UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry

Makhachev's elite wrestling and takedown defense should neutralize Garry's reach and volume striking, allowing him to control via grappling en route to a dominant decision win.

Dern's superior BJJ pedigree and striking accuracy give her an edge, despite Robertson's high takedown rate. Betting odds strongly favor Dern, reflecting perceived skill gap in grappling exchanges.

Turner's superior reach, height, and heavy volume striking give him an edge over the shorter, less experienced Fernandes at this level. Turner's power and finishing ability should overwhelm Fernandes' better defense in the later rounds.

Abdul-Malik's reach, power, and strong takedown defense give him a clear edge over Stoltzfus, whose weak TD defense (46%) could be exploited if the fight stays standing. Odds heavily favor Malik's finishing ability.

Ribovics is younger, far higher volume (7.27 SLpM) and betting favorite against an aging Barboza whose durability has declined. Ribovics' pace should overwhelm Barboza over 3 rounds, though Barboza's power gives some KO risk.

Alvarez is a well-rounded lightweight moving up with strong grappling and submission threat, favored heavily by odds. Njokuani's weak takedown defense (75%) is deceptive given Alvarez's volume and finishing ability on the ground.

Johnson's high output striking and reach edge should keep Chapolin at bay, though Chapolin's elite takedown accuracy poses a real threat. Johnson's volume and experience against grapplers likely gets him the decision.

Johnson is undefeated with superior striking defense, accuracy, and takedown ability. Betting odds strongly favor him, and his well-rounded stats suggest he can control the fight against McConico.

Luque's superior experience, volume striking, and power give him an edge despite the odds favoring Gore. Luque's SLpM and accuracy outclass Gore's, and his striking defense is better, suggesting he can control exchanges and finish.

Fernando has significant reach advantage, better striking accuracy, and betting favorite status. Tobias's poor striking defense (35%) leaves him vulnerable to Fernando's more precise output over three rounds.

Magny's significant reach and height advantage, combined with superior volume and experience, should allow him to control distance and out-work Brahimaj over three rounds.

Orolbai's superior wrestling volume (8.77 TD avg, 59% acc) and higher output should let him control Wells on the ground, consistent with heavy market favoritism.