UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2

Van's superior volume, accuracy, and youth give him an edge, but Pantoja's proven grappling and control time make this close to a coinflip, slightly favoring Van per model.

Tsarukyan's elite wrestling (75% TD def, 3.26 TD avg) against Ruffy's 0% TD offense gives him clear control ability. Strong recent form and durability edge favor a grinding decision win.

Choi has significant reach/height advantage, higher output and accuracy, better recent form, and is younger. Pitbull is on a losing streak with declining durability at 39.

Moicano has better striking defense, accuracy, and recent form (W1 streak vs Ortega's L2), plus reach and durability edges. Ortega's poor recent record and long layoff support the market favorite.

Baraniewski is younger, undefeated, with elite volume (11.35 SLpM) and 100% finish rate, while Menifield at 38 has declining durability and high SApM. Style and age favor Iwo heavily.

Steveson is undefeated with elite wrestling pedigree, much higher output and accuracy, and Sharaf is on a two-fight UFC losing streak with weak striking defense and accuracy.

Jourdain has better recent form (W3 vs L4), higher output, better striking defense, and is younger with fresher momentum. Vera's poor takedown defense and long losing streak support Jourdain as favorite.

Tuivasa is on a 7-fight losing streak with poor strike defense (42%) and durability concerns, while Despaigne's size/reach advantage and better accuracy suit exploiting a fading chin, though his inactivity adds risk.

Yoo has superior striking accuracy (58% vs 42%) and defense, plus lower SApM, while Aswell is on a 2-fight skid with weaker defense despite higher volume.

Gandra has superior output (11.71 SLpM vs 5.33), better defense, undefeated in UFC, and is younger with strong finishing rate. Diaz is on a downturn with poor recent form and weaker defense.

Shahbazyan has height/reach advantage, higher output, and better takedown defense; both fighters have high finish rates suggesting this ends early, favoring the more volume-heavy striker.

O'Neill's superior striking volume and accuracy (7.89 SLpM vs 2.57) outweigh Moura's grappling edge, especially with 70% TD defense limiting Moura's wrestling-heavy approach. Recent 2-fight win streak favors O'Neill's momentum.

Brito is younger, has strong takedowns/control, and is on a 2-fight win streak with high finish rate, while Chikadze is 38, on a 3-fight losing streak, and struggles defensively (59% str def, 65% TD def).