UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse

Parnasse enters undefeated with elite well-rounded skills, while Hooker's weak strike defense (49%) and high SApM suggest vulnerability against a fresh, dynamic talent.

Ziam has superior striking accuracy, better defense, and much better TD defense (70% vs 0%). Sola's high output comes with high SApM, suggesting he's hittable, which Ziam can exploit with volume and control.

MVP's elite striking accuracy (58%) and defense (62%) with superior reach should let him pick apart Ruziboev on the outside, whose striking defense (49%) is porous and prone to getting hit standing.

Donchenko has vastly superior striking volume, accuracy, and defense (8.07 SLpM at 62% acc vs 47% str def for Soriano), suggesting he can land and avoid damage effectively for a striking-based finish.

Campbell's high takedown volume (8.76/15min) against Peek's weaker takedown defense (52%) gives him a clear path to control positions and grind out a decision, backed by his cleaner record and market edge.

Keita's higher output and superior striking defense (62% vs 44%) give him a clear edge on the feet, plus solid TD defense to neutralize Naimov's takedowns. Market favorite aligns with statistical advantages.

Lima's superior record, better striking defense, and lower SApM suggest more efficient control, while Charriere's high output comes with poor defense that Lima can exploit.

Pinto is undefeated with superior striking accuracy (69% vs 39%) and defense (58% vs 43%), plus perfect TD defense. Spann's high SApM and declining form make him vulnerable to Pinto's cleaner output.

Sy has significant reach and height advantage, better striking defense (66% vs 50%), lower SApM, and takedown ability that Bukauskas struggles to stop offensively. Youth and physical tools favor Sy in this matchup.

Wood is a proven, high-volume UFC veteran with strong striking output (5.64 SLpM) and solid takedown defense, while his opponent lacks any database record, suggesting a significant experience gap.

No stats available for either fighter, so deferring to market implied probability as the primary signal, with a slight edge to Aljarouj as favorite.

Sygula's much higher output (7.27 SLpM vs 2.73) and volume striking edge should overwhelm Cornolle despite lower accuracy; slight reach and height advantage also help control distance.

Dias has far better experience (18-5), superior striking accuracy/defense, and significant takedown ability (4.52 TD avg, 57% acc) vs Duclos's weak defense (46% str def, 100% TD def with 0 attempts faced). Duclos's high SApM (6.81) suggests vulnerability.

Market favors Benouaich, and Montenegro's high SApM and low striking defense suggest vulnerability. Without more data on Benouaich, I trust the market's edge while noting Montenegro's durability concerns.