UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan
October 31, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA · Final results
Nolan is younger, on a 5-fight win streak, with superior output and reach, while Moicano at 37 is older with high SApM and weaker defense. Style and form favor Nolan despite Moicano's experience edge.
Smith is undefeated with elite takedown rate (91% acc, 7.78/fight) and 100% finish rate, while Brown is aging, on a 2-fight skid, and has below-average TD defense at 74%.
Osbourne's 6-inch reach advantage and solid 66% TD defense can neutralize Durden's wrestling-heavy approach, though both are on skids. Close striking stats favor a competitive decision.
Luana is younger, more defensively sound (64% str def, 85% TD def), and holds strong control/grappling edge over the aging Yana, who has declined with recent losses and long layoff.
Hasanov's elite wrestling (17 TD/fight, 75% control time, 62% TD acc) should dominate Lebosnoyani, who has only faced lower-volume grapplers despite his striking output and unsustainable 100% TD def over 2 fights.
Marshall has better TD defense, more UFC experience, and favorable record vs Hope's poor striking defense (33%). Marshall's grappling edge (88% TD def, 2.71 TD avg) should control the fight against a high-volume but defensively weak striker.
Berggren has reach, height, and output advantages with better striking accuracy, while Sezinando's weak striking defense (42%) could be exploited despite his takedown threat.
Erosa has far higher output, experience, and reach parity; his durability concerns are offset by Lee's long layoff and lack of finishing ability. Slight edge to Erosa's volume and veteran savvy.
Reese has clear physical edges in reach/height, better striking volume and accuracy, and superior takedown offense. Gall is on a 4-fight losing streak with long layoff and weaker defensive stats.
Klein has solid UFC experience, grappling volume (5.79 TD avg) and decent striking output despite a 2-fight skid; Kropschot has no database stats to gauge, so edge goes to known quantity.
Rodriguez has superior reach, higher output, better accuracy, and stronger TD defense/offense, giving her clear edges in both striking and grappling exchanges over the shorter Alencar.
Lisboa has UFC experience, reach advantage, and recent win streak momentum, while Szabova lacks database stats indicating less proven track record at this level.
