UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan

October 31, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA · Final results

Lightweight
Tom Nolan won by KO/TKO (R3, 1:28)
🔮 AI Pick: Tom Nolan by Decision68%

Nolan is younger, on a 5-fight win streak, with superior output and reach, while Moicano at 37 is older with high SApM and weaker defense. Style and form favor Nolan despite Moicano's experience edge.

Welterweight
Jacobe Smith won by U-DEC (R3, 5:00)
🔮 AI Pick: Jacobe Smith by Submission70%

Smith is undefeated with elite takedown rate (91% acc, 7.78/fight) and 100% finish rate, while Brown is aging, on a 2-fight skid, and has below-average TD defense at 74%.

Flyweight
Cody Durden won by U-DEC (R3, 5:00)
🔮 AI Pick: Ode Osbourne by Decision52%

Osbourne's 6-inch reach advantage and solid 66% TD defense can neutralize Durden's wrestling-heavy approach, though both are on skids. Close striking stats favor a competitive decision.

Women's Bantamweight
Luana Santos won by U-DEC (R3, 5:00)
🔮 AI Pick: Luana Santos by Decision74%

Luana is younger, more defensively sound (64% str def, 85% TD def), and holds strong control/grappling edge over the aging Yana, who has declined with recent losses and long layoff.

Welterweight
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani won by KO/TKO (R3, 2:11)
🔮 AI Pick: Farman Hasanov by Decision82%

Hasanov's elite wrestling (17 TD/fight, 75% control time, 62% TD acc) should dominate Lebosnoyani, who has only faced lower-volume grapplers despite his striking output and unsustainable 100% TD def over 2 fights.

Featherweight
Dakota Hope won by S-DEC (R3, 5:00)
🔮 AI Pick: Francis Marshall by Decision68%

Marshall has better TD defense, more UFC experience, and favorable record vs Hope's poor striking defense (33%). Marshall's grappling edge (88% TD def, 2.71 TD avg) should control the fight against a high-volume but defensively weak striker.

Welterweight
Rodrigo Sezinando won by KO/TKO (R2, 5:00)
🔮 AI Pick: Theodor Berggren by Decision56%

Berggren has reach, height, and output advantages with better striking accuracy, while Sezinando's weak striking defense (42%) could be exploited despite his takedown threat.

Featherweight
Julian Erosa won by KO/TKO (R1, 1:31)
🔮 AI Pick: Julian Erosa by KO/TKO56%

Erosa has far higher output, experience, and reach parity; his durability concerns are offset by Lee's long layoff and lack of finishing ability. Slight edge to Erosa's volume and veteran savvy.

Middleweight
Zach Reese won by U-DEC (R3, 5:00)
🔮 AI Pick: Zach Reese by Decision68%

Reese has clear physical edges in reach/height, better striking volume and accuracy, and superior takedown offense. Gall is on a 4-fight losing streak with long layoff and weaker defensive stats.

Middleweight
Joe Kropschot won by SUB (R2, 1:25)
🔮 AI Pick: Nick Klein by Decision56%

Klein has solid UFC experience, grappling volume (5.79 TD avg) and decent striking output despite a 2-fight skid; Kropschot has no database stats to gauge, so edge goes to known quantity.

Women's Strawweight
Piera Rodriguez won by U-DEC (R3, 5:00)
🔮 AI Pick: Piera Rodriguez by Decision63%

Rodriguez has superior reach, higher output, better accuracy, and stronger TD defense/offense, giving her clear edges in both striking and grappling exchanges over the shorter Alencar.

Women's Flyweight
Lucia Szabova won by KO/TKO (R3, 3:20)
🔮 AI Pick: Tainara Lisboa by Decision58%

Lisboa has UFC experience, reach advantage, and recent win streak momentum, while Szabova lacks database stats indicating less proven track record at this level.

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