UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song

August 29, 2026 · Shanghai, China · Final results

Bantamweight
Song Yadong won by KO/TKO (R2, 1:48)
🔮 AI Pick: Umar Nurmagomedov by Decision80%

Umar's superior striking accuracy, defense, and wrestling control give him a clear edge over Song's volume-based but less accurate output. Expect Umar to dominate positionally and win a lopsided decision.

✗ Missed
Women's Strawweight
Denise Gomes won by KO/TKO (R1, 4:49)
🔮 AI Pick: Yan Xiaonan by Decision62%

Yan's superior experience, elite striking defense, and high takedown accuracy give her an edge against the younger, less tested Gomes. Yan's veteran composure should control pace over 3 rounds.

✗ Missed
Bantamweight
Kai Asakura won by KO/TKO (R2, 0:34)
🔮 AI Pick: Aoriqileng by Decision58%

Aoriqileng's much higher output and accuracy (4.4 SLpM, 49% acc) versus Asakura's lower volume gives him a striking edge, though his weak defense makes finishes possible either way.

✗ Missed
Flyweight
Sumudaerji won by U-DEC (R3, 5:00)
🔮 AI Pick: Alex Perez by Decision62%

Perez's wrestling and grappling experience gives him a clear path to control Sumudaerji, whose defense against takedowns is average. Perez's higher volume and durability at this level should carry him through a competitive decision.

✗ Missed
Light Heavyweight
Liu Ce won by KO/TKO (R1, 4:26)
🔮 AI Pick: Levi Rodrigues Jr. by Decision55%

Limited data on Liu Ce suggests he's a newcomer, while Rodrigues has proven fight experience with a 5-1 record. Rodrigues' reach and striking accuracy give him an edge, though his weak defense stats add some risk.

✗ Missed
Flyweight
Bilal Hasan won by KO/TKO (R2, 2:28)
🔮 AI Pick: Bilal Hasan by Decision52%

With no statistical or odds data available, this is a close call. Slight edge given to Hasan based on name recognition and assumed durability, expecting a competitive fight going to decision.

✓ Called it
Flyweight
Andre Lima won by SUB (R3, 3:03)
🔮 AI Pick: Andre Lima by Decision63%

Lima has superior striking accuracy, defense, and takedown defense, indicating better overall technical control. Batbayar's low striking defense (45%) leaves him vulnerable to Lima's more efficient output over three rounds.

✓ Called it
Flyweight
Rei Tsuruya won by SUB (R1, 4:14)
🔮 AI Pick: Rei Tsuruya by Decision65%

Tsuruya's superior striking accuracy, defense, and wrestling/submission threat give him control potential against Borjas, who has a weaker defensive profile and higher SApM, suggesting a grind-out decision win.

✓ Called it
Featherweight
Sean Woodson won by S-DEC (R3, 5:00)
🔮 AI Pick: Jack Jenkins by Decision62%

Jenkins has superior striking accuracy and defense plus a real wrestling threat, letting him control range against the taller Woodson despite his reach disadvantage. His efficiency and takedown ability should edge out a close decision.

✗ Missed
Bantamweight
Francesco Nuzzi won by KO/TKO (R1, 1:00)
🔮 AI Pick: Xiao Long by Decision65%

Xiao Long's high output (5.06 SLpM) and solid takedown defense give him an edge, backed by strong betting favorite status. Lack of data on Nuzzi favors the more proven, statistically active fighter.

✗ Missed
Bantamweight
Hector Santiago won by KO/TKO (R2, 0:53)
🔮 AI Pick: Lawrence Lui by Decision72%

Lui is heavily favored with solid volume, strong takedown defense, and a dominant 8-1 record, while Santiago lacks documented stats. Market odds strongly support Lui's superior skill set.

✗ Missed
Women's Strawweight
Julia Polastri won by KO/TKO (R1, 3:06)
🔮 AI Pick: Xiong Jingnan by Decision65%

Xiong's elite experience and power as a former champion against top competition gives her the edge despite lower accuracy stats. Her big-fight experience and durability should outlast Polastri over three rounds.

✗ Missed
Welterweight
Cam Nelson won by U-DEC (R3, 5:00)
🔮 AI Pick: Ding Meng by Decision60%

Ding Meng has significant experience (45 pro fights), solid volume striking, and favorable odds. Cam Nelson lacks database stats, suggesting less notable resume, giving Ding Meng the experience and skill edge.

✗ Missed
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