UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
August 29, 2026 · Shanghai, China · Final results
Umar's superior striking accuracy, defense, and wrestling control give him a clear edge over Song's volume-based but less accurate output. Expect Umar to dominate positionally and win a lopsided decision.
Yan's superior experience, elite striking defense, and high takedown accuracy give her an edge against the younger, less tested Gomes. Yan's veteran composure should control pace over 3 rounds.
Aoriqileng's much higher output and accuracy (4.4 SLpM, 49% acc) versus Asakura's lower volume gives him a striking edge, though his weak defense makes finishes possible either way.
Perez's wrestling and grappling experience gives him a clear path to control Sumudaerji, whose defense against takedowns is average. Perez's higher volume and durability at this level should carry him through a competitive decision.
Limited data on Liu Ce suggests he's a newcomer, while Rodrigues has proven fight experience with a 5-1 record. Rodrigues' reach and striking accuracy give him an edge, though his weak defense stats add some risk.
With no statistical or odds data available, this is a close call. Slight edge given to Hasan based on name recognition and assumed durability, expecting a competitive fight going to decision.
Lima has superior striking accuracy, defense, and takedown defense, indicating better overall technical control. Batbayar's low striking defense (45%) leaves him vulnerable to Lima's more efficient output over three rounds.
Tsuruya's superior striking accuracy, defense, and wrestling/submission threat give him control potential against Borjas, who has a weaker defensive profile and higher SApM, suggesting a grind-out decision win.
Jenkins has superior striking accuracy and defense plus a real wrestling threat, letting him control range against the taller Woodson despite his reach disadvantage. His efficiency and takedown ability should edge out a close decision.
Xiao Long's high output (5.06 SLpM) and solid takedown defense give him an edge, backed by strong betting favorite status. Lack of data on Nuzzi favors the more proven, statistically active fighter.
Lui is heavily favored with solid volume, strong takedown defense, and a dominant 8-1 record, while Santiago lacks documented stats. Market odds strongly support Lui's superior skill set.
Xiong's elite experience and power as a former champion against top competition gives her the edge despite lower accuracy stats. Her big-fight experience and durability should outlast Polastri over three rounds.
Ding Meng has significant experience (45 pro fights), solid volume striking, and favorable odds. Cam Nelson lacks database stats, suggesting less notable resume, giving Ding Meng the experience and skill edge.
